Biden vs. Trump, who is ahead in the polls?

days before the next general elections, the polls reflect an intense fight for the popular vote between the Democratic President Biden and the Republican Trump. The latter is deeply engaged in the electoral race while facing four criminal proceedings, related to payments to secure the silence of a pornographic actress, electoral fraud, or mishandling of classified documents.

Since March of last year, the maximum gap in the average of polls between both candidates was 4.3 percentage points in favor of Trump in the month of January. However, as the elections approach, this difference has notably decreased, only to widen again after President Biden's poor performance in his first debate against the Republican in this campaign.

Elections in the country are not decided by popular vote but through an indirect suffrage process: candidates must win each state to accumulate electors and obtain at least 270 votes from the electoral college, out of a total of 538.

Some territories are more decisive than others on the path to the White House. Both Biden and Trump have electoral in states considered safe for their respective parties, such as California for the Democrats or Alabama for the Republicans. For this reason, they concentrate their efforts on winning in contested states, such as Florida or Michigan.